Weekly Report 4 - 10 October 2016


The new Medium-Term Plan eases fiscal policy this year and next to support economic growth



The 12-month rolling budget deficit rose sharply to 2.7% of GDP in August from 1.5% in December, mainly due to tax cuts and lower grants from the EU



Q3:16 leading indicators point to a slowdown in economic activity

Bulgaria rises to 50th place in the World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness Index



External rebalancing continues in 7M:16, with the current account deficit easing to 4.3% in July, on a 12-month rolling basis, supported by favourable energy prices and buoyant exports

Serbia’s competitiveness improves in 2016-17



The current account deficit remains unchanged at 1.5% of GDP, on an annual basis, in 7M:16



Albania’s competitiveness improves markedly in 2016-17

The unemployment rate declines further, to a 3-year low of 15.9% in Q2:16



The current account deficit narrows by 0.3 pps y-o-y to 2.3% of GDP in the first half of the year, on the back of a sharp improvement in the balance of services



FX reserves rise sharply by USD 3.0bn m-o-m to a 15-month high of USD 19.5bn in September

Parliament approves the controversial civil service law – a pillar of the Government’s 3-year reform programme



Weekly Report 4 - 10 October 2016

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