Weekly Report 15-21 March 2016


Turkey and the EU reach an agreement regarding the refugee crisis in exchange for financial aid and political concessions

Fiscal balance improves in the first two months of the year, supported by capital spending restraint and large privatisation proceeds



Headline inflation declines to a low of -2.7% y-o-y in February, mainly reflecting lower fuel and telecommunication prices

The residential real estate market improves



Headline inflation declines to -0.5% y-o-y in February, due to lower food and fuel prices

The tourism sector was a drag on FY:15 economic growth for the first time in six years



Pro-Presidential Serbian Progressive Party is set to secure a landslide victory in the April 24th snap parliamentary elections



Real GDP growth reaches a 7-year high of 3.7% in FY:15



The banking sector’s return on average equity (ROAE) reaches an 8-year high in FY:15



Tourist arrivals rise sharply in the first two months of the year



The CBE proceeds with a sharp hike of its policy rates to contain inflationary pressures and support the domestic currency

Customer deposit growth accelerates to a high of 20.7% y-o-y at end-H1:15/16, supported by the gradual return of confidence

Growth in credit to the private sector reaches an all-time high of 17.5% y-o-y at end-H1:15/16, driven by the retail segment



Weekly Report 15-21 March 2016

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